The questions to the 2017 Statistics exam have been posted. If you’re curious, you can find my answers 2017 Free Response Answers. For instructions on how to find your scores in July and on getting credit for the course in college, check out these instructions: Getting AP Score and College Credit.
If you’re looking for the review information, you can find it here.
Your AP Statistics Test is Thursday afternoon. Be outside the new gym by 11:50 with your calculator and pencils (non-mechanical, remember!). Do not bring your bag or your cell phone; find somewhere to put them.
Things you had better remember (these are my thoughts, see pages 608-610 of your review book for some further points):
- The formulas for the mean/standard deviation of a sampling distribution of means and a sampling distribution of proportions are on your formula sheet. Whenever you’re being asked to calculate a mean or a standard deviation, check to see if it’s one of these.
- Probability questions will come in three categories
- Direct calculation based on a finite sample space (like rolling dice). Write out all the possible outcomes and count which ones are the ones you want. This also includes two-way tables. Don’t try to use fancy formulas for those; just count!
- Number of successes questions. For example: “how many model E cars would you expect to see in a 2000 car sample?” or “what’s the probability that at least one out of the four drivers is speeding?” These are applications of the binomial probability model and should be calculated appropriately using the formulas on your sheet.
- Number of trials questions. For example: “how many chips would you expect to need to check before finding a defective one?” or “what’s the probability that the 5th donor is the first with Type-B blood?” These are applications of the geometric probability model. The formulas are not on your sheet, and so you should memorize them: q^(K-1)*p for a general probability and 1/p for the expected value.
- How to combine the standard deviations of two or more random variables. Remember: variances always add.
- How to read the regression output of a linear association. What do “constant,” “estimate/coefficient,” “prob” all mean? Refer to pages 111-112 in your review book or page 729 in your textbook.
- Know the difference between stratified and cluster sampling and how to identify/use them.
- Know the important conditions for each of the inference procedures:
- Everything: Random Condition
- Any z-test: Success/failure condition
- Any t-test: Nearly Normal/Large Enough condition
- Any chi-square test: Expected cell frequency condition
- Any 2-sample/2-proportion test: groups are independent from each other.
- Also: know when to use a 2-sample t-test vs. a matched pairs t-test
- Be mindful of notation. Don’t use x-bar when you should be using µ. Don’t use p when you should use p-hat.
- Context, context, context. Always frame your answers in the context of the situation. Don’t say, “I am 95% confident that the true proportion of success is between 22% and 37%.” Say instead: “I am 95% confident that the explosive sensor will accurately detect hidden explosives 22% to 37% of the time.”
- Be complete with your responses. When choosing between two possibilities in a free response question, explain why one possibility is wrong and why the other one is correct.
- At the same time, don’t give more information than is requested. If the question asks you to describe the shape of a distribution of data from a histogram, don’t discuss center and spread. If the question asks you to explain your randomization procedure for an experiment, you don’t need to explain what the response variable is, how you’re going to measure it, and what a statistically significant outcome would look like. If the question asks you to merely calculate a confidence interval, you don’t have to interpret it.
Finish the multiple choice questions from Practice Exam 3 and take a look at the tips on pages 608-610. While the wording of questions in the review book may be a bit poor at times, these tips are excellent.
Complete the Investigative Task questions for the 2011-2014 exams (if you were in class today, you’ve already completed the response for 2011). We’ll grade these together in class tomorrow.
My two sections have gotten slightly out of sync with each other, so your assignments are as follows:
- 1st period, finish the 2015 Free Response questions you were assigned. We will grade them in class tomorrow
- 3rd period, stick with the review calendar: read through Topic 14 in your review book and complete questions 1, 3, and 6.
We have started the review process for the AP Statistics exam. The schedule can be found here: AP Review Schedule – 2017. This schedule may change as our needs develop, but we will be more or less sticking to it over the course of the next month.
- Noon, Wednesday, April 26 – Practice AP Exam (Small Gym)
- Noon, Thursday, May 11 – Actual AP Exam (Small Gym)
- Inference Reference Guide
- Full Free Response Archive (going back to 2003)
- 2016 Free Response
- 2015 Free Response
- 2014 Free Response
- 2013 Free Response
- 2012 Free Response
- 2011 Free Response
We have started our process for reviewing for the AP exam. Remember that your practice exam will be in the afternoon of Wednesday, April 26.
For now, all assignments will be out of your Barron’s review books. Please bring them in with you each day. Today, I want you to read the Introduction on pages 1-3, and then read through Topic 4 – Exploring Categorical Data. Do the review exercises at the end (pages 144-149)
No extra credit puzzle today, unfortunately. Instead, I want you to review the practice exam questions that come with Unit 6 on pages 666-670 and do the odd numbered multiple choice questions (1-35 odd).